The Tampa Bay Rays (+100) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-120) on Sunday, September 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Bronx.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Rays vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 75-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 59-76 ATS.
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+12.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+10.90 Units / 114% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 away games (+9.75 Units / 84% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 47 of his last 66 games at home (+16.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games (+11.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+10.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+9.55 Units / 17% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 26 games (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+7.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 33 away games (+6.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 46 away games (+4.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+3.15 Units / 26% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+1.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 64-67 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -0.94% ROI).
- 75-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -0.6% ROI
- 60-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -6.51% ROI
- 65-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -1.47% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 59-76 against the Run Line (-20.05 Units / -12.75% ROI).
- 83-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -1.48% ROI
- 63-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.95 Units / -8.6% ROI
- 69-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -0.3% ROI
Luis Patino: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Patino has limited playing time.
Domingo German: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Domingo German since the start of last season is 382.7 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 399.1
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (573/1,718) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (496/1,294) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 14% (3/21) against Domingo German against right-handed batters — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 98th Percentile.