Rays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 21
Rays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 21

The Tampa Bay Rays (+130) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-155) on Sunday, July 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Rays are 49-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 53-47 ATS.

Rays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 0-1, 5.23 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 7-4, 3.53 ERA

Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Rays vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
  • Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 games (+12.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jonny Deluca has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.05 Units / 61% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 61 of their last 95 games (+24.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 89 games (+11.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.35 Units / 18% ROI)

  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 66 games (+15.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games (+13.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 66 games (+11.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 77 games (+11.64 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.55 Units / 20% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 47-51 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -5.99% ROI).

  • 49-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -7.46% ROI
  • 46-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -7.05% ROI
  • 49-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -1.2% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 53-47 against the Run Line (+11.95 Units / 10.12% ROI).

  • 59-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 0.62% ROI
  • 51-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 1% ROI
  • 45-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.95 Units / -9.98% ROI

Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +180 0.5 -225
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +275 0.5 -350
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Ben Rice (NYY) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Volpe (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Alex Verdugo (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Gleyber Torres (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -120 0.5 -110
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Alex Verdugo (NYY) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shane Baz (TB) 4.5 -120 4.5 -110
Marcus Stroman (NYY) 4.5 +105 4.5 -135

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 17% (3/18) against Shane Baz this month (2 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (8/32) against Shane Baz this month (2 games) — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .417 (10-for-24) against Shane Baz this month (2 games) — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .248 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .444 (8-for-18) against Shane Baz when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .261 — fifth Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

  
Read Full Article