Rays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 16
Rays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 16

The Tampa Bay Rays (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-160) on Tuesday, August 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Rays vs Yankees Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 61-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 52-64 ATS.

Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 58.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+15.55 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+12.15 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.15 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Ji-Man Choi has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.05 Units / 50% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 42 of his last 58 games at home (+16.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+13.20 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+13.20 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+11.45 Units / 63% ROI)

Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
Gleyber Torres 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
Jose Trevino 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Jose Trevino 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Gleyber Torres 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
Jose Trevino 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jeffrey Springs 4.5 -130 4.5 -110
Nestor Cortes 5.5 -165 5.5 +120

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 37 away games (+6.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 47 games (+5.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.35 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)

  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 51 games at home (+11.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.75 Units / 56% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 54-60 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -4.62% ROI).

  • 61-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -5.07% ROI
  • 51-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -9 Units / -7.27% ROI
  • 56-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -0.62% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 52-64 against the Run Line (-13.95 Units / -10.36% ROI).

  • 72-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.05% ROI
  • 55-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -7 Units / -5.46% ROI
  • 56-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -3.45% ROI

Jeffrey Springs has a strikeout rate of 49% (43 SO in 88 PAs) in PAs ending on fastballs away since the start of 2020 — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 36% (255/709) against Jeffrey Springs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 49% (131/268) against Jeffrey Springs with two-strikes this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 97th Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs has allowed a slugging percentage of .486 (86 Total Bases / 177 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the start of 2020 — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .366 — fifth Percentile.

Nestor Cortes: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

17 of Nestor Cortes’ 51 breaking pitch strikeouts (33%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 54% of the time (455/841) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 55% of the time (692/1,249) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 62% of the time (201/322) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
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