The Tampa Bay Rays (+150) visit Hammond Stadium to take on the Minnesota Twins (-185) on Saturday, March 16, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Fort Myers, FL.

This season, the Rays are 5-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 7-8 ATS.

Rays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s matchup with 55.8% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.70 Units / 51% ROI)
• Curtis Mead has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jose Siri has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.55 Units / 85% ROI)
• Harold Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Kyle Farmer has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+4.50 Units / 112% ROI)
• Alex Kirilloff has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• Ryan Jeffers has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 94 of their last 164 games (+14.09 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 88 of their last 160 games (+13.55 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rays are 7-9 against the Run Line (-3.49 Units / -16.86% ROI).

• 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.81 Units / -24.49% ROI
• 9-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.12 Units / 6.32% ROI
• 7-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -17.41% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Twins are 7-8 against the Run Line (-2.78 Units / -14.67% ROI).

• 4-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.78 Units / -34.41% ROI
• 6-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.68 Units / -22.47% ROI
• 9-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.3 Units / 13.76% ROI

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .147 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — best among in NL; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed batters hit just .111 (8-for-72) against Ryan Pepiot in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in NL; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.

Ryan Pepiot allowed a BABIP of .089 vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — best among in NL; League Avg: .285 — 100th Percentile.

Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .220 (159 PA’s) in the 2023 season — best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .312 — 100th Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters had a chase rate of 37% (73/195) against Pablo Lopez when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez had a strikeout rate of 54% (13/24) in close and late situations in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of 31% (281/909) against Pablo Lopez in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.1 MPH (505 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 89.1 — 95th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

  
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