The Tampa Bay Rays (+110) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-135) on Thursday, June 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Rays are 35-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 33-41 ATS.
Rays vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 2-5, 4.27 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 2-1, 3.32 ERA
Rays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+14.20 Units / 76% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+11.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 11 games (+11.15 Units / 75% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.60 Units / 72% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.45 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Royce Lewis has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+14.65 Units / 183% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 39 games (+12.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 34% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 48 of their last 71 games (+23.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 65 games (+8.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 away games (+4.25 Units / 27% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 57 games (+9.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 54 games (+8.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 32-42 against the Run Line (-12.75 Units / -13.21% ROI).
- 35-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -13 Units / -13.87% ROI
- 38-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -0.25% ROI
- 35-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -8.38% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 33-41 against the Run Line (-11.7 Units / -12.21% ROI).
- 41-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -0.63% ROI
- 33-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units / -9.59% ROI
- 37-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 0.56% ROI
Twins vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Twins vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +210 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Twins vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell (TB) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 40% (33/83) against Zack Littell on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 5 of 170 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 2 of 124 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .309 (50-for-162) against Zack Littell this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .440 (11 GB hits out of 25 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .256 — first Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has walked 4 of 27 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for 3rd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 20 of Simeon Woods Richardson’s 103 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 19%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 34% — second Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has a strikeout rate of 30% (8 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for 7th best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 22% — 88th Percenti le.