The Tampa Bay Rays (-115) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-105) on Wednesday, July 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Rays are 43-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 49-38 ATS.

Rays vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 4-4, 4.40 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 4-6, 3.94 ERA

Rays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 56% ROI)
• Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
• Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+12.50 Units / 33% ROI)
• Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 82 games (+24.35 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 22 away games (+11.55 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 away games (+7.80 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 76 games (+6.35 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.45 Units / 30% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+13.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+10.24 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games at home (+5.00 Units / 8% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 41-44 against the Run Line (-6.2 Units / -5.48% ROI).

• 43-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -7.3% ROI
• 42-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -2.9% ROI
• 41-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -5.54% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 49-38 against the Run Line (+3.39 Units / 2.84% ROI).

• 47-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 6.96% ROI
• 36-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.6 Units / -16.52% ROI
• 47-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.2 Units / 7.59% ROI

Royals vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryan Pepiot has allowed a slugging percentage of .557 (39 Total Bases / 70 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .310 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .195 (80-for-410) against Ryan Pepiot since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (93/268) against Ryan Pepiot on fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .119 (15-for-126) against Ryan Pepiot’s fastball this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 100th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (805/1,660) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 162 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 50% of the time (182/364) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (518/1,062) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has allowed an OPS of just .457 (126 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .686 — 100th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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