The Tampa Bay Rays (-225) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+185) on Wednesday, April 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Rays vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 15-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 11-6 ATS.
Rays vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rays vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+10.30 Units / 103% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+10.20 Units / 102% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.55 Units / 85% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.60 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.85 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)
Reds vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jason Vosler | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Kevin Newman | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
Reds vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jason Vosler | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Kevin Newman | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Reds vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jason Vosler | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kevin Newman | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Reds vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 42% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.10 Units / 35% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 14-4 against the Run Line (+10.8 Units / 51.06% ROI).
- 15-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.2 Units / 32.65% ROI
- 11-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.5 Units / 28.21% ROI
- 5-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -36.82% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 11-6 against the Run Line (+6.05 Units / 29.66% ROI).
- 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -12.26% ROI
- 11-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.65 Units / 25.34% ROI
- 6-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.2 Units / -32.55% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rasmussen has a strike rate of 73% (84/115) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OBP of just .231 (65 PA’s) this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .310 — 92nd Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .302 (38 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .495 — 89th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .088 (3-for-34) against Drew Rasmussen with two-strikes this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .169 — 90th Percentile.