The Tampa Bay Rays (-125) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+105) on Tuesday, April 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Rays vs Reds Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 14-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 11-5 ATS.
Rays vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rays vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 59.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+10.20 Units / 102% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.65 Units / 96% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.25 Units / 81% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.25 Units / 73% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+12.85 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 49% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.90 Units / 81% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 50% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 13-4 against the Run Line (+9.5 Units / 47.15% ROI).
- 14-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.2 Units / 30.86% ROI
- 10-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.5 Units / 24.32% ROI
- 5-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.2 Units / -32.8% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 11-5 against the Run Line (+7.55 Units / 39.95% ROI).
- 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -7.2% ROI
- 10-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.65 Units / 21.04% ROI
- 6-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -28.01% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taj Bradley has limited playing time.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (52/140) against Nick Lodolo this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 99th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 56% of Nick Lodolo’s pitches in the zone (83/148) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has a strikeout rate of 55% (27 SO in 49 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 88th Percentile.