The Tampa Bay Rays (-150) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+125) on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Rays vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 14-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 10-5 ATS.
Rays vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rays vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 63.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.65 Units / 96% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.65 Units / 96% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.25 Units / 81% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+7.30 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.75 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.15 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+7.40 Units / 148% ROI)
Reds vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Reds vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Reds vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Reds vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -150 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.85 Units / 36% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.65 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.15 Units / 44% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 13-3 against the Run Line (+10.5 Units / 54.83% ROI).
- 14-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.75 Units / 37.3% ROI
- 10-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.55 Units / 31.81% ROI
- 4-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -40.56% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 10-5 against the Run Line (+6.55 Units / 37.11% ROI).
- 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -15.9% ROI
- 10-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.7 Units / 28.83% ROI
- 5-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -35.93% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jalen Beeks has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (104/221) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 97th Percentile.
Jalen Beeks has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (519/1,067) since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 18% — 98th Percentile.
Jalen Beeks has thrown his changeup 55% of the time (394/719) against right-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Jalen Beeks has thrown his changeup 51% of the time (143/282) with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 19% — 97th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has thrown 90 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has an average fastball velocity of 99.6 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has thrown 572 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.