The Tampa Bay Rays (+105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-125) on Saturday, September 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Rays are 79-81 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 75-85 ATS.

Rays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 3-3, 3.07 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 9-15, 4.18 ERA

Rays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games (+22.85 Units / 176% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 40 games (+14.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.85 Units / 39% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 33% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.60 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Triston Casas has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 24 games at home (+15.50 Units / 65% ROI)
• Tyler O’Neill has hit the Singles Under in his last 14 games (+14.00 Units / 55% ROI)
• Tyler O’Neill has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 44% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+12.00 Units / 24% ROI)
• Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+11.85 Units / 20% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 95 of their last 157 games (+28.36 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 84 games (+22.55 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 89 of their last 151 games (+21.25 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 89 games (+11.80 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 87 games (+5.30 Units / 5% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+4.15 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.15 Units / 35% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 83-77 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -1.81% ROI).

• 79-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.15 Units / -4.82% ROI
• 67-87 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.6 Units / -15.74% ROI
• 87-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.6 Units / 7.69% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 75-85 against the Run Line (-20.6 Units / -9.66% ROI).

• 80-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -4.5% ROI
• 78-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -1.77% ROI
• 74-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.3 Units / -6.46% ROI

Red Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Shane Baz has allowed a BABIP of .170 vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 99th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .098 (5-for-51) against Shane Baz this month (4 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 98th Percentile.

Shane Baz has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 11.1 innings pitched — Jose A. Ferrer has the longest active streak at 24.2.

Shane Baz has allowed a BABIP of .232 this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 98th Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of .978 (89 Total Bases / 91 ABs) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .593 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (173/512) against Kutter Crawford this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has allowed an OPS of 1.460 (112 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.038 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .250 (23-for-92) against Kutter Crawford on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 94th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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