The Tampa Bay Rays (-145) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+120) on Monday, October 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Rays vs Red Sox Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 86-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 80-79 ATS.

Rays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s matchup with 57.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.05 Units / 37% ROI)
• Jeffrey Springs has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 48% ROI)
• David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 46% ROI)
• Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.75 Units / 33% ROI)
• Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+13.50 Units / 34% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 35 games at home (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 56% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.10 Units / 59% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 26 games at home (+8.80 Units / 26% ROI)

Red Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 56 games (+8.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 48 games (+7.15 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.45 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 away games (+6.25 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 48 games (+5.70 Units / 9% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 77 games (+8.85 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 67 of their last 130 games (+8.30 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+6.55 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.25 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+5.20 Units / 18% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 79-80 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -1.03% ROI).

• 86-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -2.27% ROI
• 70-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.7 Units / -8.54% ROI
• 79-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 0.36% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 80-79 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -1.48% ROI).

• 75-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.7 Units / -9.02% ROI
• 75-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -3.12% ROI
• 74-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -8 Units / -4.55% ROI

Tyler Glasnow: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 26 ABs ending on a two-strike breaking pitch from Tyler Glasnow. — Jesse Chavez has the longest active streak at 37.

The last hit on a Tyler Glasnow curveball was June 1st, 2021. Hitters are 0 for their last 17 in ABs ending on his curveball. — Chris Flexen has the longest active streak at 29.

Richard Hill: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (1,268/3,111) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

18 of Rich Hill’s 63 breaking pitch strikeouts (29%) have been backdoor this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 96th Percentile.

Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (2,013/4,406) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (402/793) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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