The Tampa Bay Rays (-105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-115) on Friday, July 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Rays are 44-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 40-47 ATS.
Rays vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 4-4, 3.43 ERA
Rays vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rays vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+22.10 Units / 246% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+16.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 55 of their last 84 games (+24.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 24 away games (+12.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 away games (+7.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 78 games (+6.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.10 Units / 25% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 38 games at home (+17.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+9.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+7.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.15 Units / 24% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 42-45 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -4.99% ROI).
- 44-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / -7.24% ROI
- 43-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.8 Units / -2.93% ROI
- 42-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -5.42% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 40-47 against the Run Line (-12.15 Units / -10.8% ROI).
- 39-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -15.14% ROI
- 33-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.8 Units / -22.79% ROI
- 50-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.9 Units / 14.51% ROI
Rangers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Rangers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Rangers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Amed Rosario (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Lorenzen (TEX) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Shane Baz (TB) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a BABIP of .144 vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .129 (18-for-139) against Michael Lorenzen this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OPS of just .475 (163 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .716 — 98th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen allowed a batting average of .291 vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– ninth Percentile and just .129 vs left-handed batters this season (best among non-qualified SPs)– 100th Percentile.