The Tampa Bay Rays (+165) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-200) on Monday, September 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Rays are 71-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 71-72 ATS.

Rays vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Cole Sulser 0-0, 4.36 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 10-9, 3.42 ERA

Rays vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 62.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+24.10 Units / 268% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.35 Units / 22% ROI)
• Jonny Deluca has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 63% ROI)
• Brandon Lowe has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+16.70 Units / 239% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 41 games (+13.90 Units / 27% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+11.75 Units / 21% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.70 Units / 47% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 51% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 84 of their last 140 games (+23.55 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+12.80 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 72 games (+11.70 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 67 games (+10.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 51 away games (+8.00 Units / 15% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 51 games (+13.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.90 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 61 games at home (+12.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 63 games at home (+11.00 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 62 games at home (+10.55 Units / 9% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 73-70 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -2.09% ROI).

• 71-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -5.17% ROI
• 65-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.3 Units / -9.12% ROI
• 73-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 1.2% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 71-72 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -2.12% ROI).

• 85-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.22% ROI
• 67-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.55 Units / -6.69% ROI
• 70-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.15 Units / -2.64% ROI

Phillies vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (8/47) against Cole Sulser over the last 14 days — 12th lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 27% — 11th Percentile.

Cole Sulser has a strikeout rate of just 10% (2 SO in 19 PAs) over the last 14 days — tied for 8th lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — ninth Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 55% of Cole Sulser’s pitches (47/85) over the last 14 days — 9th highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 49% — 91st Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 71% of Cole Sulser’s pitches (24/34) with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 10th highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 60% — 90th Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (123/195) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (291/493) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Cristopher Sanchez has located his fastballs down 48% of the time (555/1,145) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 51% (217/424) against Cristopher Sanchez with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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