The Tampa Bay Rays (+100) visit BayCare Ballpark to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-120) on Thursday, March 21, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Clearwater, FL .

This season, the Rays are 6-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 0-1 ATS.

Rays vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s matchup with 56.7% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
• Curtis Mead has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jose Siri has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.55 Units / 85% ROI)
• Wander Franco has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+2.10 Units / 210% ROI)
• Jose Siri has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Johan Rojas has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+3.05 Units / 79% ROI)
• Garrett Stubbs has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 94 of their last 164 games (+14.09 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 88 of their last 160 games (+13.55 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.78 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rays are 9-11 against the Run Line (-3.47 Units / -13.89% ROI).

• 6-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.89 Units / -28.47% ROI
• 11-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.87 Units / 3.9% ROI
• 9-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.13 Units / -14.39% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Phillies are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -100% ROI).

• 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
• 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
• 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .147 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — best among in NL; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed batters hit just .111 (8-for-72) against Ryan Pepiot in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in NL; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.

Ryan Pepiot allowed an OPS of just .383 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in NL; League Avg: .689 — 98th Percentile.

Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .220 (159 PA’s) in the 2023 season — best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .312 — 100th Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of 58% (162/281) against Cristopher Sanchez in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 70% (55/78) against Cristopher Sanchez’s changeup in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 97th Percentile.

Cristopher Sanchez threw his changeup 38% of the time (444/1,169) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 13% — 99th Percentile.

Hitters chased 219 of Cristopher Sanchez’s 506 off-speed pitches out of the zone (chase rate of 43%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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