Rays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 18
Rays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 18

The Tampa Bay Rays (-105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-115) on Sunday, September 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Rays vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rays are 92-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 89-59 ATS.

Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 55.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 away games (+13.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 36 games (+12.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+10.25 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 22 away games (+10.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.15 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+14.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Kyle Bradish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+12.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+11.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+10.85 Units / 30% ROI)

Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Ryan O'Hearn 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Ramon Urias 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Yandy Diaz 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Ryan O'Hearn 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Ramon Urias 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Yandy Diaz 1.5 +150 1.5 -200

Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Ryan O'Hearn 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Ramon Urias 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Yandy Diaz 0.5 +220 0.5 -300

Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dean Kremer 4.5 -105 4.5 -120
Zack Littell 3.5 +120 3.5 -160
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 81-69 against the Run Line (+14.3 Units / 7.98% ROI).

  • 92-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.05 Units / 4.71% ROI
  • 80-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.65 Units / 4.61% ROI
  • 66-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.85 Units / -12.7% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 89-59 against the Run Line (+25.15 Units / 13.11% ROI).

  • 92-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +32.3 Units / 16.74% ROI
  • 76-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.4 Units / 6.43% ROI
  • 60-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.85 Units / -14.53% ROI

Zack Littell has walked 8 of 300 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Littell has walked 22 of 514 batters (4%) since last season — tied for 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .291 (84-for-289) against Zack Littell since last season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .229 — sixth Percentile.

Zack Littell has allowed a slugging percentage of .458 (222 Total Bases / 485 ABs) since last season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .364 — fourth Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dean Kremer has located his pitches away 56% of the time (1,488/2,660) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Dean Kremer has a strikeout rate of just 23% (41 SO in 177 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 36% — sixth Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 186 of Dean Kremer’s 748 off-speed pitches out of the zone (25%) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — second Percentile.

  
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