The Tampa Bay Rays (+120) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-145) on Saturday, September 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Rays are 72-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 74-73 ATS.
Rays vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 0-1, 2.80 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Joey Cantillo 1-3, 6.13 ERA
Rays vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rays vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games (+21.10 Units / 176% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.45 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+10.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 37 of his last 49 games (+19.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 49 games (+19.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tyler Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Austin Hedges has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+10.00 Units / 250% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 76-71 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -1.23% ROI).
- 72-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -6.08% ROI
- 66-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.65 Units / -10.34% ROI
- 76-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 2.28% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 74-73 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 1.25% ROI).
- 84-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.07 Units / 5.82% ROI
- 67-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -7.14% ROI
- 71-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -1.65% ROI
Guardians vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Guardians vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Guardians vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Dylan Carlson (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jonny DeLuca (TB) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen (TB) | 1.5 -115 | 1.5 -110 |
| Joey Cantillo (CLE) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rasmussen has not allowed a home run in any of the last 32.0 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 83.1.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .328 (256 Total Bases / 780 ABs) since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 97th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has an ERA of 2.79 (210.0 IP)since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: 3.99 — 97th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .596 (839 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: .712 — 97th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joey Cantillo has struck out 50% (10/20) of right-handed batters he faced this month (1 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Joey Cantillo has allowed an OBP of just .050 (20 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (1 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Joey Cantillo has a strikeout rate of 43% (10 SO in 23 PAs) over the past seven days (1 games) — best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Joey Cantillo allowed an OBP of just .050 (20 PA’s) against right-handed batters in his last start — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .260 — 100th Percentile.