The Tampa Bay Rays (+150) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-185) on Friday, September 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Rays are 72-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 74-73 ATS.

Rays vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 6-9, 3.91 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 11-7, 3.58 ERA

Rays vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games (+21.10 Units / 176% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+14.35 Units / 26% ROI)
• Jonny Deluca has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.45 Units / 69% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.35 Units / 30% ROI)
• Jonny Deluca has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+10.15 Units / 17% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brayan Rocchio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 17 games (+20.50 Units / 121% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 37 of his last 49 games (+19.70 Units / 20% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 49 games (+19.20 Units / 26% ROI)
• Tyler Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.25 Units / 54% ROI)
• Kyle Manzardo has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.70 Units / 37% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 86 of their last 144 games (+23.25 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 76 games (+13.30 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 71 games (+12.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 138 games (+12.25 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 55 away games (+6.20 Units / 11% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 84 of their last 147 games (+11.07 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 55 games (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 64 games at home (+7.60 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+4.15 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 76-71 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -1.23% ROI).

• 72-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -6.08% ROI
• 66-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.65 Units / -10.34% ROI
• 76-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 2.28% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 74-73 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 1.25% ROI).

• 84-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.07 Units / 5.82% ROI
• 67-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -7.14% ROI
• 71-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -1.65% ROI

Guardians vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Littell has thrown his slider 49% of the time (291/591) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total SL; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (46/157) against Zack Littell in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Zack Littell has allowed an OBP of just .256 (211 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .322 — 98th Percentile.

Zack Littell has walked 7 of 232 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting just .187 (47-for-252) against Tanner Bibee this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (146/419) against Tanner Bibee this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.

The average home run distance against Tanner Bibee in the 2023 season was 379.5 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3

Opponents are hitting just .198 (46-for-232) against Tanner Bibee when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 88th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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