Rays vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 8
Rays vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 8

The Tampa Bay Rays (+105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-125) on Thursday, August 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Rays are 57-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 57-58 ATS.

Rays vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 0-1, 3.60 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 7-4, 4.03 ERA

Rays vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 25 away games (+22.20 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+13.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+12.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+9.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 44 games (+8.85 Units / 15% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 40 games (+27.00 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 21 games (+22.00 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+11.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 68 of their last 110 games (+22.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 61 of their last 104 games (+13.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 42 games (+12.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+10.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 37 away games (+5.65 Units / 15% ROI)

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.25 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 40 games at home (+2.05 Units / 4% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 57-56 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -2.01% ROI).

  • 57-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -6.42% ROI
  • 52-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.35 Units / -9.14% ROI
  • 58-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 0.96% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 57-58 against the Run Line (-5.3 Units / -3.44% ROI).

  • 59-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -5.45% ROI
  • 54-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -8 Units / -6.37% ROI
  • 56-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -2.79% ROI

Cardinals vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Christopher Morel (TB) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Cardinals vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Cardinals vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Christopher Morel (TB) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +175 0.5 -225
Josh Lowe (TB) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Cardinals vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Gibson (STL) 5.5 +100 5.5 -130
Shane Baz (TB) 4.5 +120 4.5 -155

Shane Baz has not allowed a home run in any of the last 16.2 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 70.2.

Shane Baz has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to July 21st — Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 14.

Shane Baz has thrown off-speed pitches 58% of the time (26/45) on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — 2nd highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 97th Percentile.

Shane Baz has allowed an OBP of just .167 (18 PA’s) versus the top of the order in his last two starts — tied for 6th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .321 — 93rd Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Gibson allowed a batting average of just .136 vs right-handed batters (tied for eighth best)– 90th Percentile and .333 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for sixth worst among qualified SPs)– 12th Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has walked 21 of 120 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 55% (255/464) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 29% (72/248) against Kyle Gibson on elevated fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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