The Tampa Bay Rays (+140) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-165) on Tuesday, August 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Rays vs Brewers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 58-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 45-63 ATS.
Rays vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rays vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+12.55 Units / 70% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.15 Units / 70% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.25 Units / 36% ROI)
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+11.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Keston Hiura has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+11.10 Units / 79% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 46 games (+10.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 away games (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 41 games (+4.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+1.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 51 of their last 88 games (+16.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 88 games (+10.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 50-58 against the Run Line (-8.35 Units / -6.3% ROI).
- 58-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -5.73% ROI
- 49-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -6.49% ROI
- 53-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -1.28% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 45-63 against the Run Line (-23.15 Units / -17.6% ROI).
- 58-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -19 Units / -10.9% ROI
- 55-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.5 Units / 2.09% ROI
- 48-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.7 Units / -9.84% ROI
James Yacabonis: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 44% of the time (418/949) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .309 (17-for-55) against Jeffrey Springs on inside fastballs since the start of 2020 — 15th highest among among 128 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .247 — 11th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has a strike rate of 70% (282/405) in two strike counts this season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 88th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has allowed an OPS of .808 (191 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the start of 2020 — 14th highest among among 140 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .675 — 10th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has allowed a slugging percentage of just .104 (7 Total Bases / 67 ABs) on low fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .426 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .104 (7-for-67) against Freddy Peralta on low fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .272 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .145 (26-for-179) against Freddy Peralta when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .092 (44-for-476) against Freddy Peralta with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: .165 — 100th Percentile.