The Tampa Bay Rays (+145) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-175) on Wednesday, August 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rays vs Brewers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 58-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 46-63 ATS.
Rays vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rays vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 76.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+13.55 Units / 70% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.15 Units / 70% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.25 Units / 37% ROI)
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- Keston Hiura has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+11.10 Units / 79% ROI)
- Luis Urias has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kolten Wong has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.30 Units / 31% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 42 games (+5.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 16 games (+2.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+0.50 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 52 of their last 89 games (+17.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 89 games (+10.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.85 Units / 26% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 50-59 against the Run Line (-9.8 Units / -7.32% ROI).
- 58-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -6.35% ROI
- 49-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -6.43% ROI
- 53-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -1.26% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 46-63 against the Run Line (-21.9 Units / -16.52% ROI).
- 59-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -18 Units / -10.23% ROI
- 55-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.5 Units / 2.07% ROI
- 48-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.7 Units / -9.75% ROI
Jeffrey Springs: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 40% of the time (101/254) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 44% of the time (418/949) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has allowed a slugging percentage of .523 (91 Total Bases / 174 ABs) versus the bottom of the order since the start of 2020 — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .337 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 36% (237/663) against Jeffrey Springs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.
Brandon Woodruff: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Woodruff has not allowed a HR in any of his last seven starts dating back to June 28th — Max Fried has the longest active streak at 10.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 38% (137/359) against Brandon Woodruff this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (86/253) against Brandon Woodruff on low breaking pitches this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 46% — second Percentile.
Brandon Woodruff has a first-pitch strike rate of 78% (42/54) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.