The Tampa Bay Rays (-105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-115) on Monday, April 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Rays are 13-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 13-14 ATS.

Rays vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 2-2, 3.77 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson 2-0, 3.50 ERA

Rays vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 games (+17.60 Units / 73% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.55 Units / 43% ROI)
• Amed Rosario has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.35 Units / 45% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+9.80 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Blake Perkins has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 16 games (+17.00 Units / 106% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.80 Units / 45% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 27 games (+12.25 Units / 45% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.60 Units / 33% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+8.95 Units / 19% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 31 away games (+13.85 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 10-19 against the Run Line (-9.15 Units / -26.56% ROI).

• 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.45 Units / -24.23% ROI
• 17-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.75 Units / 11.79% ROI
• 12-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -21.41% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 13-14 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -11.02% ROI).

• 17-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.95 Units / 26.54% ROI
• 17-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.35 Units / 21.6% ROI
• 10-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.65 Units / -28.83% ROI

Brewers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (39/100) against Ryan Pepiot on fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (39/100) against Ryan Pepiot on fastballs this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 30% (48/158) against Ryan Pepiot on pitches in the strike zone this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Ryan Pepiot has allowed an OBP of just .182 (55 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .299 — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (127/696) against Bryse Wilson since last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (161/887) against Bryse Wilson since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (282/1,567) against Bryse Wilson since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (79/423) against Bryse Wilson since last season — 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — fifth Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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