Rays vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 20

The Tampa Bay Rays (+120) visit CoolToday Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-145) on Monday, March 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in North Port.

The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Rays vs Braves Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Rays are 7-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 8-8 ATS.

Rays vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 64.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Francisco Mejia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Ji-Man Choi has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.75 Units / 138% ROI)
  • Christian Bethancour has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.30 Units / 110% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.10 Units / 86% ROI)

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 63 away games (+9.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+7.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.85 Units / 22% ROI)

  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 140 games (+23.04 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 116 games (+22.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 77 of their last 133 games (+21.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games at home (+11.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+9.10 Units / 12% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 10-6 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 21.41% ROI).

  • 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -7.59% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -2.88% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -4.2% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 8-8 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -3.65% ROI).

  • 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -2.18% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 8.31% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -16.25% ROI

Zach Eflin has located his fastball low 47% of the time (725/1,542) since the start of the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 96th Percentile.

Zach Eflin had a strikeout rate of just 6% (5/84) in PAs ending on inside fastballs last season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 14% — fifth Percentile.

Zach Eflin has located his fastballs down 47% of the time (725/1,542) since the start of the 2021 season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents batted .444 (20-for-45) against Zach Eflin on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — third Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of 55% (275/501) against Kyle Wright last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 95th Percentile.

Kyle Wright induced opposing hitters to ground into 26 double plays in 136 opportunities (19%) last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Wright has induced opposing hitters to ground into 26 double plays in 145 opportunities (18%) since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

  
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