The Tampa Bay Rays (+115) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-135) on Saturday, June 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Rays are 33-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 32-35 ATS.

Rays vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 4-3, 4.17 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 3-3, 4.23 ERA

Rays vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+12.00 Units / 34% ROI)
• Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+10.75 Units / 73% ROI)
• Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 54% ROI)
• Randy Arozarena has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Alex Jackson has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.65 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 42 games (+21.20 Units / 33% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+17.65 Units / 36% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 33 of his last 42 games (+17.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 37 games (+17.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 47 games (+15.40 Units / 22% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 46 of their last 67 games (+24.45 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 61 games (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.80 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+3.55 Units / 9% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 53 games (+21.40 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.94 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 26 games at home (+2.00 Units / 7% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 29-41 against the Run Line (-13.95 Units / -15.5% ROI).

• 33-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.45 Units / -14.99% ROI
• 35-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -2.87% ROI
• 34-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -6.01% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 32-35 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -5.45% ROI).

• 37-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.15 Units / -9.43% ROI
• 24-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.35 Units / -26.51% ROI
• 40-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.55 Units / 18.19% ROI

Braves vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryan Pepiot has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.111 (20 Total Bases / 18 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .389 — first Percentile.

Ryan Pepiot has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.111 (20 Total Bases / 18 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .389 — first Percentile.

Ryan Pepiot has allowed an OPS of 1.611 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .668 — first Percentile.

Ryan Pepiot has allowed an OPS of 1.611 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .668 — first Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 55% of the time (188/342) with two-strikes this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 43 of 374 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 40% of the time (446/1,111) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 42 of 369 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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