The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-110) on Thursday, July 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Rays are 51-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 46-55 ATS.
Rays vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 5-4, 2.62 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 8-8, 3.71 ERA
Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 31 games (+19.30 Units / 62% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+14.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+12.75 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 26 games (+34.15 Units / 131% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 26 games (+10.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 games at home (+9.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 54% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 63 of their last 99 games (+24.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+11.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games (+5.35 Units / 19% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 31 games (+15.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 100 games (+8.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.15 Units / 8% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 49-53 against the Run Line (-8.2 Units / -6.03% ROI).
- 51-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.95 Units / -7.09% ROI
- 49-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -5.17% ROI
- 50-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -3.21% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 46-55 against the Run Line (-20.1 Units / -14.55% ROI).
- 46-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.3 Units / -12.76% ROI
- 52-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.2 Units / 1.08% ROI
- 46-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.4 Units / -10.26% ROI
Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Richard Palacios (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Blue Jays vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Taj Bradley (TB) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 81% (13/16) against Taj Bradley over the past seven days (1 games) — highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 81% (13/16) against Taj Bradley in his last start — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has struck out 32% (128/396) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed an OPS of just .229 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .697 — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (26/207) against Chris Bassitt with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (19/142) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has averaged 70.8 MPH on curveballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 79.7 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .367 (22-for-60) against Chris Bassitt on low fastballs this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .261 — seventh Percentile.