The Baltimore Ravens (0-2-0) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (1-1-0) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-105).
The Ravens vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.
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Ravens vs. Cowboys Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this game with 51.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today
- Justice Hill has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- Derrick Henry has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Derrick Henry has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Keaton Mitchell has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 89% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Rico Dowdle has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Rico Dowdle has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 45% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Cowboys vs Ravens
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott (DAL) | 27.5 -110 | 27.5 -120 |
| Array | 39.5 -115 | 39.5 -115 |
| Array | 55.5 -120 | 55.5 -115 |
| Array | 39.5 -110 | 39.5 -120 |
| Array | 32.5 -115 | 32.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Cowboys vs Ravens
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Array | 66.5 -120 | 66.5 -115 |
| Array | 50.5 -115 | 50.5 -120 |
Ravens Best Bets:
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2H Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have scored last in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 59% ROI)
Cowboys Best Bets:
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.60 Units / 35% ROI)
Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Ravens went 0-2 (-2.15 Units / -100% ROI).
- Ravens are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -100% ROI
- Ravens are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Ravens are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / ROI
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Cowboys went 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Cowboys are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -45.33% ROI
- Cowboys are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Cowboys are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .363.
The Ravens are 4-1 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .370.
The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .513.
The Ravens were undefeated (6-0) vs top 10 pass offenses last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .424.
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Cowboys are 12-1 (.923) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .568.
The Cowboys are 11-1 (.917) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .498.
The Cowboys are winless (0-4) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .283.
Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys have run successful plays on 53.8% of pass attempts against a light rush since the 2023 season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed successful plays on 53.3% of pass attempts with a light rush since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.