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The only thing that can enhance the start of the NFL regular season is to have two Super Bowl odds favorites and bitter rivals do the opening-night honors.
Cue the regular season opener featuring the Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs from Arrowhead Stadium.
The Chiefs are the 3-point favorites by the Ravens vs. Chiefs odds. Thursday's game will kick off at 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) to open our NFL predictions for Week 1.
Our Ravens vs. Chiefs prediction focuses on both teams' significant personnel changes during the offseason.
Best Ravens vs. Chiefs picks
NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Spread pick: Chiefs -3 (+100 via bet365) vs. Ravens ????
- Player prop: Patrick Mahomes Over 20.5 rushing yards (-113 via FanDuel) ????
Ravens vs. Chiefs spread prediction: Week 1
While the Patrick Mahomes factor is always front and center, his influence in the opener will probably be matched by Lamar Jackson, last season's MVP. Mahomes is the NFL MVP odds front-runner this year, while Jackson is attempting to win his second straight award.
Both teams will almost invariably be in the mix to represent the AFC in Super Bowl 59, but it will take the Ravens slightly longer to adjust and adapt to their substantial personnel changes since last season's run to the AFC Championship Game.
The departures of Pro Bowl linebacker Patrick Queen and Jadeveon Clowney change the complexion of the Ravens' pass rush and overall defensive look.
Zach Orr will step into the fire in his first game as Baltimore's defensive coordinator, facing the NFL's best quarterback, argu ably the best tight end, and a rookie wide receiver in Xavier Worthy blessed with more pace than a cheetah in his prime.
Talk about a baptism of fire.
Kevin Zeitler and John Simpson are also gone, putting pressure on a new-look offensive line. While Jackson is more elusive than a lively jackrabbit, it will be more challenging working behind three new starters.
Left guard Andrew Vorhees hasn't played an NFL game, right guard Daniel Faalele has been asked to play in a new position, and veteran right tackle Patrick Mekari has started 36 games over his five-year career.
Last season, the Chiefs were 8-5 against the spread as 3-point favorites or more and they won 10 of 16 games when favored on the moneyline.
I'd think twice about taking the Chiefs if the line moves to -3.5, but a field goal spread is too alluring to bypass.
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Ravens vs. Chiefs player prop
Mahomes will be ready to test the Ravens' new-look defense with his feet if the opportunity presents itself. He ran for at least 21 yards in 10 of 16 contests last season and had one additional game with a 20-yard run.
Mahomes opened last season with four straight games of at least 28 rushing yards. He eclipsed the 21-yard barrier in six of the first seven contests and eight of 10.
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Best odds: -113 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.05%
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Ravens vs. Chiefs odds
See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.
Ravens vs. Chiefs game info
- When: Thursday, Sept. 5
- Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City)
- How to watch: NBC, Peacock (streaming)
- Weather: 86 degrees, 3% chance of precipitation, 6 mph W, 43% humidity
- Favorite: Chiefs (-149 via BetMGM)
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