The Texas Rangers (+140) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-165) on Saturday, August 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Rangers vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 52-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 55-62 ATS.
Rangers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rangers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s matchup with 67.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+17.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 30 games (+17.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 41 away games (+14.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+14.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 49 away games (+11.95 Units / 16% ROI)
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+17.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 22 games at home (+17.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 35 games (+15.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 45 games at home (+14.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 37 games at home (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 80 games (+8.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 away games (+6.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+2.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 68 of their last 115 games (+16.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.10 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+7.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.25 Units / 64% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 66-52 against the Run Line (+9.45 Units / 6.16% ROI).
- 52-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.25 Units / -9.8% ROI
- 57-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 1.11% ROI
- 51-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -8.66% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 55-62 against the Run Line (-9.5 Units / -6.74% ROI).
- 62-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.1% ROI
- 55-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -1.86% ROI
- 53-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -5.72% ROI
Glenn Otto: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Glenn Otto has walked 10 of 49 batters (20%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Glenn Otto has walked 18 of 92 batters (20%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Glenn Otto has walked 5 of 20 left-handed batters (25%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Glenn Otto has allowed an OPS of 2.083 (16 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .980 — second Percentile.
Christopher Archer: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Archer has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 44% (53/121) of left-handed hitters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Chris Archer has thrown his slider 53% of the time (202/380) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 98th Percentile.
Chris Archer has located his fastball up for a strike just 45% (137/306) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.
Chris Archer has thrown off-speed pitches 72% of the time (275/380) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total NonFB; League Avg: 39% — 99th Percentile.