The Texas Rangers (+120) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-145) on Friday, August 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Rangers vs Twins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 52-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 55-61 ATS.
Rangers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rangers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s matchup with 71.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 40 away games (+20.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+16.50 Units / 61% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 29 games (+16.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 40 away games (+15.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+13.10 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+18.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+16.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 44 games at home (+15.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 36 games at home (+14.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 34 games (+13.65 Units / 40% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 52 away games (+11.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 40 away games (+10.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 36 away games (+9.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+4.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+3.60 Units / 51% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 67 of their last 114 games (+15.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 79 games (+8.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+6.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in their last 6 games at home (+6.25 Units / 86% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 65-52 against the Run Line (+8.45 Units / 5.56% ROI).
- 52-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.25 Units / -9.12% ROI
- 57-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 1.97% ROI
- 50-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -9.51% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 55-61 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -6.08% ROI).
- 61-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -0.54% ROI
- 55-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -1.02% ROI
- 52-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.4 Units / -6.54% ROI
Martin Perez: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .159 (17-for-107) against Martin Perez on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — 97th Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .196 (21 Total Bases / 107 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .416 — 97th Percentile.
Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of 27% (34 SO in 125 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 96th Percentile.
Martin Perez has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 59% (244/414) of opposing batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fourth Percentile.
Dylan Bundy: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Bundy has a strike rate of 70% (417/597) when ahead in the count this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 99th Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has a strike rate of 74% (306/412) in two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 50% (105/209) against Dylan Bundy with two-strikes this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 97th Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has averaged 89.3 MPH on fastballs this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — fifth Percentile.