The Texas Rangers (-125) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+105) on Sunday, May 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Rangers are 18-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 22-12 ATS.

Rangers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rangers starting pitcher: Jon Gray 1-1, 2.48 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Daniel Lynch 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Rangers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rangers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 27 games (+16.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.65 Units / 30% ROI)
• Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.35 Units / 56% ROI)
• Evan Carter has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+11.60 Units / 116% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+10.95 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+16.10 Units / 95% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+15.15 Units / 76% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.80 Units / 69% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.30 Units / 53% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.05 Units / 23% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 149 games (+19.35 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 80 of their last 149 games (+17.83 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 85 of their last 149 games (+12.38 Units / 7% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 16-18 against the Run Line (-4.4 Units / -9.77% ROI).

• 18-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -3.12% ROI
• 13-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.9 Units / -21.21% ROI
• 19-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 12.25% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 22-12 against the Run Line (+6.49 Units / 13.15% ROI).

• 20-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.15 Units / 21.14% ROI
• 11-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.95 Units / -30.12% ROI
• 20-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.9 Units / 21.73% ROI

Royals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jon Gray has a strikeout rate of 37% (22 SO in 59 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Jon Gray has thrown breaking pitches 60% of the time (81/135) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Jon Gray has thrown his slider 58% of the time (90/156) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Jon Gray has thrown his slider 44% of the time (48/109) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 97th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .455 (45-for-99) against Daniel Lynch on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .343 — 0 Percentile.

Daniel Lynch has allowed a slugging percentage of .818 (81 Total Bases / 99 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .582 — second Percentile.

Daniel Lynch has allowed a slugging percentage of .519 (120 Total Bases / 231 ABs) on breaking pitches since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .373 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (24/148) against Daniel Lynch on changeups since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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