Rangers vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 19
Rangers vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 19

The Texas Rangers (-110) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-110) on Wednesday, April 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Rangers vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rangers are 11-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 5-13 ATS.

Rangers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rangers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 60.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Josh Jung has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 away games (+7.05 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+8.15 Units / 71% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.40 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.20 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Nicky Lopez has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+6.55 Units / 43% ROI)

Royals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Robbie Grossman 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Nate Lowe 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Jonah Heim 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Brad Miller 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600

Royals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Robbie Grossman 0.5 -160 0.5 +125
Nate Lowe 1.5 +185 1.5 -250
Jonah Heim 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Adolis Garcia 1.5 +185 1.5 -250
Brad Miller 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Royals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Robbie Grossman 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Nate Lowe 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Jonah Heim 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Brad Miller 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Royals vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Martin Perez 4.5 +110 4.5 -145
Brady Singer 5.5 +130 5.5 -165

  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.35 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 48% ROI)

  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.05 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.85 Units / 54% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 10-7 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 10.93% ROI).

  • 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 20.04% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.2 Units / 22.11% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.05 Units / -32.79% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 5-13 against the Run Line (-11.05 Units / -48.15% ROI).

  • 4-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.35 Units / -46.39% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.2 Units / 10.97% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -20.2% ROI

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (85/141) against Martin Perez when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 44% (1,188/2,721) against Martin Perez since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 49% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 35% (218/626) against Martin Perez on inside fastballs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 50% — third Percentile.

Hitters swung at 53% of Martin Perez’s pitches (404/767) with two-strikes in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 71% (17/24) against Brady Singer on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 77% (34/44) against Brady Singer on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.

Brady Singer has a first-pitch strike rate of 75% (52/69) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 99th Percentile.

  
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