The Texas Rangers (+100) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-120) on Tuesday, August 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Rangers vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 53-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 65-55 ATS.
Rangers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rangers vs Rockies Prediction for Today's Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Tuesday's matchup with 52.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We've highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 33 games (+20.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+17.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 44 away games (+15.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 away games (+14.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 19 games at home (+12.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.65 Units / 64% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+10.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Brian Serven has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+6.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.90 Units / 47% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 31 games at home (+2.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 67-52 against the Run Line (+10.45 Units / 6.76% ROI).
- 53-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.5 Units / -8.44% ROI
- 57-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 0.3% ROI
- 52-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.25 Units / -7.82% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 65-55 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 2.23% ROI).
- 52-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -2.83% ROI
- 57-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -4.03% ROI
- 56-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -5.4% ROI
Dane Dunning: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 45% (433/973) against Dane Dunning this season – tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% – fifth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (26/169) against Dane Dunning this season – 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 24% – 98th Percentile.
Dane Dunning has a strike rate of just 62% (1,262/2,019) this season – 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% – eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% (199/369) against Dane Dunning this season – 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% – 95th Percentile.
German Marquez: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against German Marquez this season is 417.2 feet – highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 398.5
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (42/202) against German Marquez on the first pitch of at-bats this season – 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% – 10th Percentile.
German Marquez has a strikeout rate of just 10% (9 SO in 86 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season – 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% – eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .442 (42-for-95) against German Marquez on low fastballs this season – 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .274 – second Percentile.