The Texas Rangers (-155) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+125) on Tuesday, April 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Rangers vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 14-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 14-9 ATS.
Rangers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rangers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 66.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 9 away games (+9.05 Units / 87% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+8.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+8.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.75 Units / 70% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+9.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jake Fraley has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+8.40 Units / 32% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.20 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.60 Units / 37% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.20 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+2.35 Units / 18% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 13-9 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 10.99% ROI).
- 14-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 12.43% ROI
- 15-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.1 Units / 28.92% ROI
- 7-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -39.46% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 14-9 against the Run Line (+4.2 Units / 14.17% ROI).
- 8-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -26.02% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.8% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -9.13% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (10/65) against Martin Perez this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Martin Perez has a first-pitch strike rate of 73% (68/93) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 98th Percentile.
Martin Perez has a strike rate of 69% (74/107) in two strike counts this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 29% (12/41) against Martin Perez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luke Weaver had a strike rate of just 58% (54/93) — 6th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 64% — sixth Percentile.