Rangers vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 27
Rangers vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 27

The Texas Rangers (+180) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-225) on Thursday, June 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Rangers are 37-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 46-34 ATS.

Rangers vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jon Gray 3-3, 3.05 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 8-3, 2.35 ERA

Rangers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rangers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 65.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.10 Units / 201% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 36 games (+15.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+17.55 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 69% ROI)

  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 76 games (+17.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 28 games (+3.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 28 games (+1.95 Units / 6% ROI)

  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 71 games (+19.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 65 games (+13.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+7.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.50 Units / 18% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 36-44 against the Run Line (-12.95 Units / -12.6% ROI).

  • 37-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.15 Units / -13.03% ROI
  • 29-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.8 Units / -25.76% ROI
  • 47-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.55 Units / 17.77% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 46-34 against the Run Line (+19.3 Units / 20.79% ROI).

  • 50-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.6 Units / 8.45% ROI
  • 40-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.45 Units / 9.75% ROI
  • 29-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.1 Units / -17.33% ROI

Orioles vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Orioles vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Orioles vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Opponents are hitting .440 (70-for-159) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .342 — second Percentile.

Jon Gray has not allowed a walk in his last 120 PAs against a RHH dating back to April 16th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Jon Gray has allowed an OBP of just .100 (20 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .281 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 38% (313/822) against Jon Gray since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Corbin Burnes has allowed an OPS of just .440 (161 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .701 — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has had second base stolen on him 21 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 66% of the time (255/385) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 72% of the time (89/123) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

  
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