The Texas Rangers (+100) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-120) on Thursday, September 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+170).
The Rangers vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 66-88 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 81-73 ATS.
Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s matchup with 64.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 40 away games (+25.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 39 of his last 58 away games (+24.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 25 of his last 29 games (+22.30 Units / 63% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+16.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 55 of his last 87 games (+15.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 42 of his last 59 games at home (+12.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+10.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+10.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+10.20 Units / 26% ROI)
Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Adam Frazier | 0.5 +1250 | 0.5 |
Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Carlos Santana | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Adam Frazier | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
Carlos Santana | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +105 |
Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Adam Frazier | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Carlos Santana | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Marco Gonzales | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -145 |
Jon Gray | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 40% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 82-72 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 0.58% ROI).
- 66-88 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.2 Units / -10.86% ROI
- 75-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.23% ROI
- 69-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.7 Units / -7.51% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 81-73 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -1.52% ROI).
- 84-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 1.65% ROI
- 70-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.35 Units / -7.91% ROI
- 77-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 0.32% ROI
Jonathan Gray: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .165 (85-for-514) against Jon Gray’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 95th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Jon Gray vs left-handed batters since the start of 2020 is 417.6 feet — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 399.1
Opponents are hitting just .164 (35-for-214) against Jon Gray’s non-fastballs this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .190 (44-for-231) against Jon Gray this season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 94th Percentile.
Marco Gonzales: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marco Gonzales has allowed a slugging percentage of .733 (63 Total Bases / 86 ABs) on low fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: .425 — 0 Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has averaged 88.4 MPH on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 0 Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has averaged 88.4 MPH on fastballs since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 93.2 — third Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has located his fastball inside 51% of the time (1,103/2,177) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.