Rangers vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 14
Rangers vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 14

The Texas Rangers (+130) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-155) on Friday, June 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Rangers are 33-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 34-37 ATS.

Rangers vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 2-7, 4.07 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 5-7, 3.35 ERA

Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 34 games (+20.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jonah Heim has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 27 games (+18.90 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 37 games (+16.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jonah Heim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+16.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+13.75 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 games at home (+17.60 Units / 160% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 39 games (+10.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+8.00 Units / 18% ROI)

  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 64 games (+17.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+6.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.85 Units / 31% ROI)

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+12.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+12.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 26 games at home (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+6.25 Units / 16% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 30-38 against the Run Line (-11.85 Units / -13.73% ROI).

  • 33-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -9.76% ROI
  • 24-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.3 Units / -28.32% ROI
  • 41-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.85 Units / 19.96% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 34-37 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -6.9% ROI).

  • 40-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 2.65% ROI
  • 26-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.45 Units / -25.52% ROI
  • 42-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +13 Units / 16.65% ROI

Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +270 0.5 -350
Dylan Moore (SEA) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Mitch Garver (SEA) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550

Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Nate Lowe (TEX) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Josh H. Smith (TEX) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Mitch Garver (SEA) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Heaney (TEX) 5.5 -160 5.5 +120
Luis Castillo (Sea) 6.5 +125 6.5 -160

Opponents have a line drive rate of 45% (14/31) against Andrew Heaney over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .174 (31-for-178) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (7/28) against Andrew Heaney — 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (9/31) against Andrew Heaney over the last 14 days — 5th lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — ninth Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .324 (12-for-37) against Luis Castillo on low fastballs this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .249 — 18th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 33% (128/383) against Luis Castillo this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 94th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .207 (81-for-391) against Luis Castillo when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 86th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 45% (42/93) against Luis Castillo in late innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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