The Texas Rangers (+105) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-125) on Saturday, August 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Rangers are 60-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 62-66 ATS.

Rangers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rangers starting pitcher: Jon Gray 5-4, 3.78 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Ben Lively 10-8, 3.69 ERA

Rangers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rangers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 35 games (+16.85 Units / 46% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 43 games (+13.35 Units / 20% ROI)
• Corey Seager has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 19 games (+11.50 Units / 61% ROI)
• Wyatt Langford has hit the RBIs Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+11.25 Units / 14% ROI)
• Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 18 away games (+10.65 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 25 games at home (+48.50 Units / 194% ROI)
• Will Brennan has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+16.65 Units / 64% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+14.10 Units / 20% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 38 games (+13.75 Units / 18% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 23% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 away games (+13.70 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.80 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.40 Units / 29% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 54 games at home (+11.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games at home (+10.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.35 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 54 games at home (+3.10 Units / 5% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 57-72 against the Run Line (-25.3 Units / -14.82% ROI).

• 60-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.25 Units / -11.28% ROI
• 56-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.6 Units / -12.39% ROI
• 67-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.6 Units / 3.95% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 62-66 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -2.25% ROI).

• 73-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.22 Units / 6.28% ROI
• 62-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -2.23% ROI
• 59-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.1 Units / -6.49% ROI

Guardians vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jon Gray has not allowed a walk in his last 171 PAs against a RHH dating back to April 16th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Jon Gray has walked 3 of 206 right-handed batters (1%) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .430 (74-for-172) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: .341 — second Percentile.

Jon Gray has thrown his slider 54% of the time (1,007/1,867) against right-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total SL; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

12 of Ben Lively’s 33 breaking pitch strikeouts (36%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (82/456) against Ben Lively this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.

Ben Lively has a strikeout rate of just 27% (12 SO in 45 PAs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Ben Lively has allowed an OBP of just .258 (155 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: .323 — 98th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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