The Texas Rangers (+140) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-165) on Monday, June 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Rangers are 37-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 40-38 ATS.
Rangers vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 4-3, 3.03 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 5-4, 4.10 ERA
Rangers vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rangers vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+19.10 Units / 382% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 23 games (+14.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+14.25 Units / 57% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 25 of his last 36 games (+12.35 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games at home (+18.00 Units / 180% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+11.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 24 games at home (+9.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+9.25 Units / 40% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 73 games (+18.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+3.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.05 Units / 10% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 78 games (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 74 games (+9.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 78 games (+8.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+6.70 Units / 26% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 36-41 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -9.61% ROI).
- 37-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.85 Units / -10.09% ROI
- 27-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.7 Units / -27.83% ROI
- 46-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.7 Units / 19.82% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 40-38 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -1.53% ROI).
- 45-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 10.97% ROI
- 42-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.4 Units / 8.68% ROI
- 32-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.25 Units / -16.5% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .144 (17 Total Bases / 118 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .102 (12-for-118) against Michael Lorenzen this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen allowed a batting average of .304 vs right-handed batters (sixth worst)– fifth Percentile and just .102 vs left-handed batters this season (best among non-qualified SPs)– 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OPS of just .351 (135 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .715 — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 32% (130 SO in 404 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 36% (49 SO in 135 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 56% (106 SO in 188 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has thrown elevated pitches 46% of the time (316/687) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.