The Texas Rangers (+135) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-160) on Saturday, April 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Rangers are 11-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 9-9 ATS.

Rangers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Rangers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rangers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Evan Carter has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+11.20 Units / 28% ROI)
• Evan Carter has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.20 Units / 41% ROI)
• Jared Walsh has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 14 games (+6.85 Units / 49% ROI)
• Evan Carter has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.45 Units / 26% ROI)
• Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Strikeouts Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.15 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Sam Hilliard has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
• Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
• Sam Hilliard has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+5.55 Units / 23% ROI)
• Max Fried has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 70% ROI)
• Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.55 Units / 46% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 89 of their last 161 games (+23.78 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 154 games (+22.65 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 94 of their last 161 games (+18.53 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 84 of their last 147 games (+16.60 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 10-11 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -10.62% ROI).

• 11-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -5.8% ROI
• 11-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.11% ROI
• 10-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -9.96% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 9-9 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 0.97% ROI).

• 13-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 11.01% ROI
• 11-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 23.27% ROI
• 6-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.15 Units / -30.67% ROI

Braves vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nathan Eovaldi has allowed a .518 SLG vs right-handed batters (ninth worst)– 10th Percentile and just .226 vs left-handed batters this season (eighth best among qualified SPs)– 89th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (54/371) against Nathan Eovaldi on non-fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (53/335) against Nathan Eovaldi since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has induced opposing hitters to ground into 4 double plays in 14 opportunities (29%) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has walked 4 of 18 batters (22%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (239/711) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 95th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (279/777) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 57 of 572 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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