The Texas Rangers (+110) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-135) on Sunday, July 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Rangers are 45-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 50-45 ATS.

Rangers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rangers starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 1-2, 3.18 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 9-3, 2.54 ERA

Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.10 Units / 201% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 36 games (+15.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+14.05 Units / 45% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)
• Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 91 games (+14.90 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 44 games (+6.40 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 42 games (+5.50 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 43 games (+3.95 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 36% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 37 games (+19.10 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 78 games (+13.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+12.75 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+11.65 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+10.50 Units / 58% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 44-51 against the Run Line (-12.2 Units / -9.94% ROI).

• 45-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.75 Units / -10.71% ROI
• 37-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.1 Units / -20.15% ROI
• 53-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.65 Units / 12.12% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 50-45 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 5.44% ROI).

• 50-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -5.41% ROI
• 38-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.55 Units / -19.79% ROI
• 54-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.35 Units / 11.73% ROI

Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 28% (18/65) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 29% (23/79) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.

Max Scherzer has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.5 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (79 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 90.3

Opponents are hitting .444 (8-for-18) against Max Scherzer when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — tied for 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .257 — third Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ronel Blanco has walked 22 of 154 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Ronel Blanco has allowed a BABIP of .185 this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .284 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .150 (6-for-40) against Ronel Blanco on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .144 (19-for-132) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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