Rangers vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 15
Rangers vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 15

The Texas Rangers (+145) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-175) on Saturday, April 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Rangers vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rangers are 8-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 7-7 ATS.

Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.55 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+7.25 Units / 181% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+11.05 Units / 123% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.15 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Singles Over in his last 9 games (+9.10 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 48% ROI)

Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Abreu 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Nate Lowe 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Brad Miller 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +350 0.5 -650

Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Abreu 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Nate Lowe 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brad Miller 0.5 -135 0.5 +100
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Kyle Tucker 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Abreu 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Nate Lowe 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Brad Miller 0.5 +260 0.5 -375
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Hunter Brown 5.5 -120 5.5 -110
Jon Gray 5.5 -125 5.5 -105

  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.75 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 34% ROI)

  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.20 Units / 90% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.40 Units / 16% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 7-6 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 1.8% ROI).

  • 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 10.78% ROI
  • 8-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 16.04% ROI
  • 5-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -26.07% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 7-7 against the Run Line (-1.15 Units / -6.2% ROI).

  • 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -31.34% ROI
  • 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 22.36% ROI
  • 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -30.69% ROI

Jon Gray has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 81% (29/36) of opposing batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.

Jon Gray has allowed an OBP of just .244 (287 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 96th Percentile.

Jon Gray has a strike rate of 70% (796/1,137) against right-handed batters since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .200 (54-for-270) against Jon Gray since last season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 93rd Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hunter Brown has not allowed a home run in any of the last 35.2 innings he’s appeared — Shohei Ohtani has the longest active streak at 68.0.

Hunter Brown has thrown his curveball 49% of the time (22/45) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 98th Percentile.

Hunter Brown has allowed an OPS of just .348 (21 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .762 — 97th Percentile.

  
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