The Texas Rangers (+140) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-165) on Friday, April 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Rangers vs Astros Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rangers are 7-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 7-6 ATS.

Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.25 Units / 80% ROI)
• Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
• Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.10 Units / 86% ROI)
• Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 58% ROI)
• Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.55 Units / 91% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.45 Units / 59% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+9.90 Units / 124% ROI)
• Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.15 Units / 46% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 90% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 49% ROI)

Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 92% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.75 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.05 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.75 Units / 34% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+5.10 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.95 Units / 35% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 6-6 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -4.61% ROI).

• 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 3.42% ROI
• 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 26.39% ROI
• 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -35.77% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 7-6 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -0.85% ROI).

• 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -26.32% ROI
• 9-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.7 Units / 32.53% ROI
• 4-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -39.93% ROI

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters had a swing rate of just 44% (1,091/2,504) against Martin Perez in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile.

Hitters swung at 53% of Martin Perez’s pitches (404/767) with two-strikes in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 44% (1,162/2,658) against Martin Perez since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile.

Martin Perez had a strike rate of just 63% (1,581/2,504) against right-handed batters in 2022 — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — sixth Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Garcia allowed a slugging percentage of .822 (60 Total Bases / 73 ABs) on low fastballs in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .429 — 0 Percentile.

Luis Garcia has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 41% (13/32) of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Luis Garcia has located his pitches away 67% of the time (1,854/2,770) against right-handed batters since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

  
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