Rams vs Saints Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 11
Rams vs Saints Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 11

The Los Angeles Rams (3-6) visit Caesars Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints (3-7) on Nov. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in New Orleans.

The Saints are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).

The Rams vs. Saints Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.

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Rams vs. Saints Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Saints will win this Week 11 game with 58.8% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Rams will cover the spread this Week 11 with 53.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rams and Saints, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Rams Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Rams players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Darrell Henderson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Van Jefferson has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ben Skowronek has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Interceptions Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+4.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Allen Robinson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 away games (+4.10 Units / 77% ROI)

Best Saints Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Saints players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Mark Ingram has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Tre’Quan Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Marquez Callaway has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Taysom Hill has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.55 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Jarvis Landry has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.20 Units / 30% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.20 Units / 22% ROI)

  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have scored last in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+4.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.65 Units / 41% ROI)

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams have gone 2-6 (-4.65 Units / -46.97% ROI).

  • Rams are 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -27.08% ROI
  • Rams are 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Rams are 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / ROI

Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints have gone 3-7 (-4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI).

  • Saints are 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -32.82% ROI
  • Saints are 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Saints are 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints

The Rams are winless (0-4) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .441.

The Rams are winless (0-6) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .455.

The Rams are 1-8 (.111) vs top 10 defenses since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .479.

The Rams are undefeated (4-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .583.

New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Saints are winless (0-2) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .438.

The Saints are winless (0-4) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .444.

  
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