The Los Angeles Rams (3-7) visit GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (8-2) on Nov. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Kansas City.
The Chiefs are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).
The Rams vs. Chiefs Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
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Rams vs. Chiefs Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this Week 12 game with 77.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Rams will cover the spread this Week 12 with 56.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Rams and Chiefs, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Rams Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Rams players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tyler Higbee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Darrell Henderson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Allen Robinson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 away games (+5.10 Units / 71% ROI)
- Van Jefferson has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Allen Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
Best Chiefs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire has hit the Carries Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+5.80 Units / 95% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 19 games (+5.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- Mecole Hardman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.65 Units / 45% ROI)
Rams Best Bets for Week 12:
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.90 Units / 38% ROI)
Chiefs Best Bets for Week 12:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+6.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams have gone 2-7 (-5.75 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Rams are 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -30.69% ROI
- Rams are 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Rams are 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / ROI
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs have gone 4-6 (-2.65 Units / -23.98% ROI).
- Chiefs are 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 17.3% ROI
- Chiefs are 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Chiefs are 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Rams are winless (0-6) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .458.
The Rams are winless (0-4) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .426.
The Rams are 1-9 (.100) vs top 10 defenses since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .480.
The Rams are winless (0-2) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .358.
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams
The Chiefs are 4-1 (.800) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — sixth-best in NFL. The Rams have turned the ball over 15 times this season — tied for fifth-most in NFL.
The Chiefs are 3-2 (.600) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .210.