Rams vs Bears Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 4
Rams vs Bears Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 4

The Los Angeles Rams (1-2-0) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (1-2-0) on Sep. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

The Bears are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (+100).

The Rams vs. Bears Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.

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Rams vs. Bears Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Bears will win this game with 57.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Rams will cover the spread with 64.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Rams players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rams Player Prop Bets Today

  • Kyren Williams has hit the Carries Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Tyler Higbee has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 away games (+5.40 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Tyler Higbee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Demarcus Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.55 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • D.J. Moore has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • D’Andre Swift has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Cairo Santos has hit the Field Goals Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Cole Kmet has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.65 Units / 31% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bears vs Rams

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Kyren Williams (LAR) +425
D'Andre Swift (CHI) +800
D.J. Moore (Chi) +800

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bears vs Rams

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Kyren Williams (LAR) -145

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bears vs Rams

Player Name Over Under

Kyren Williams (LAR)
16.5 -110 16.5 -120

D.J. Moore (CHI)
55.5 -120 55.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bears vs Rams

Player Name Over Under

Kyren Williams (LAR)
75.5 -110 75.5 -120

D'Andre Swift (CHI)
40.5 -110 40.5 -120
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+6.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have scored first in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.20 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.10 Units / 23% ROI)

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams art 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Rams are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 4.84% ROI
  • Rams are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.85 Units / 25.37% ROI
  • Rams are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI

Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears are 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -3.03% ROI).

  • Bears are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -25% ROI
  • Bears are 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
  • Bears are 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

The Rams were 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .622.

The Rams were 5-2 (.714) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .513.

The Rams are 3-7 (.300) after a road win since the 2022 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .459.

The Rams were undefeated (4-0) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Bears were 1-5 (.167) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.

The Bears were winless (0-6) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.

The Bears were 3-1 (.750) vs top 10 run offenses last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .424.

The Bears were 2-9 (.182) when committing 1 or more turnovers last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.

Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Rams vs. Chicago Bears

  
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