Raiders vs Steelers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 16

The Las Vegas Raiders (6-8) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (6-8) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Pittsburgh.

The Steelers are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Raiders vs. Steelers Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.

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Raiders vs. Steelers Prediction for Week 16

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Steelers will win this Week 16 game with 62.3% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread this Week 16 with 54.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Raiders and Steelers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.25 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Carries Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+4.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Derek Carr has hit the Interceptions Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+4.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Hunter Renfrow has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 27% ROI)

Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 8 games (+8.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.65 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Najee Harris has hit the Carries Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.05 Units / 66% ROI)
  • George Pickens has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.25 Units / 58% ROI)

  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in their last 7 games (+7.30 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 2Q Spread in their last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 93% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have scored last in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI)

  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+5.45 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+4.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.00 Units / 36% ROI)

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders have gone 7-7 (-0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Raiders are 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -27.37% ROI
  • Raiders are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Raiders are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / ROI

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers have gone 7-6 (+0.4 Units / 2.61% ROI).

  • Steelers are 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 11.48% ROI
  • Steelers are 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • Steelers are 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Raiders are 1-3 (.250) when making less than 7 explosive plays this season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .395.

The Raiders are 2-6 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season — tied for 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .393.

The Raiders are winless (0-5) when scoring less than 22 points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .270.

The Raiders are 9-10 (.474) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season — tied for 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .404.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The Steelers are winless (0-6) when committing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .403.

The Steelers are 6-2 (.750) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for ninth-best in NFL. The Raiders have intercepted 4 passes this season — tied for second-fewest in NFL.

  
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