The Las Vegas Raiders (8-6) visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts (9-6) on Dec. 31. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.
The Colts are betting favorites in this Week 17 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Raiders vs. Colts Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
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Raiders vs. Colts Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Colts will win this Week 17 game with 57.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Raiders will cover the spread with 61.0% confidence.
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Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players this Week 17 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Hunter Renfrow has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Davante Adams has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Longest Rush Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.65 Units / 48% ROI)
Best Colts Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Colts players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Michael Pittman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Michael Pittman has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Kylen Granson has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
Raiders Best Bets:
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have scored first in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+5.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Colts Best Bets:
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.85 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.65 Units / 27% ROI)
Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders went 8-6 (+1.35 Units / 8.18% ROI).
- Raiders are 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 10.86% ROI
- Raiders are 4-11 when betting the Over for -8.1 Units / -49.09% ROI
- Raiders are 11-4 when betting the Under for +6.6 Units / ROI
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts went 9-6 (+2.3 Units / 13.81% ROI).
- Colts are 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 19.21% ROI
- Colts are 10-5 when betting the Over for +4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Colts are 5-10 when betting the Under for -6 Units / -36.36% ROI
Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Raiders are winless (0-5) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .417.
The Raiders are winless (0-5) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Raiders are 6-3 (.667) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .592.
The Raiders are 1-6 (.143) when committing 2 or more turnovers this season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .291.
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Colts are 1-5-1 (.143) when playing in warm weather since the 2022 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Colts are 1-8 (.111) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .417.
The Colts are 4-3 (.571) on the road this season — 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .438.
The Colts are 2-5 (.286) when losing at least one fumble this season — T-7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.