The Las Vegas Raiders (7-6) visit GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (7-6) on Dec. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Kansas City, MO.
The Chiefs are betting favorites in this Week 16 matchup, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).
The Raiders vs. Chiefs Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.
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Raiders vs. Chiefs Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this Week 16 game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chiefs will cover the spread with 61.1% confidence.
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Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players this Week 16 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Hunter Renfrow has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Davante Adams has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Longest Rush Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.65 Units / 48% ROI)
Best Chiefs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Noah Gray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 73% ROI)
Raiders Best Bets:
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have scored first in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+5.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.40 Units / 19% ROI)
Chiefs Best Bets:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 2Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have scored first in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.95 Units / 33% ROI)
Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders went 7-6 (+0.35 Units / 2.27% ROI).
- Raiders are 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -15.45% ROI
- Raiders are 4-10 when betting the Over for -7 Units / -45.45% ROI
- Raiders are 10-4 when betting the Under for +5.6 Units / ROI
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs went 7-6 (+0.4 Units / 2.58% ROI).
- Chiefs are 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -4.05% ROI
- Chiefs are 5-9 when betting the Over for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI
- Chiefs are 9-5 when betting the Under for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI
Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Raiders are winless (0-5) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Raiders are winless (0-4) when playing in cold weather this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Raiders are winless (0-8) when rushing less than 25 times this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .292.
The Raiders are 1-5 (.167) on the road this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .434.
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Chiefs are 9-1 (.900) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Raiders has allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 49 s this season — highest in NFL.
The Chiefs are 8-4 (.667) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — T-8th-best in NFL. The Raiders have turned the ball over 25 times this season — T-3rd-most in NFL.
The Chiefs are 16-1 (.941) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2022 season — best in NFL. The Raiders has allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 42 s since the 2022 season — 5th-highest in NFL.
The Chiefs are 14-6 (.700) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .304.