The Las Vegas Raiders (2-2-0) visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos (2-2-0) on Oct. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Denver, CO.
The Broncos are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Raiders vs. Broncos Over/Under is 36 total points for the game.
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Raiders vs. Broncos Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Broncos will win this game with 51.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Broncos will cover the spread with 51.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today
- Tre Tucker has hit the Receptions Over in his last 7 games (+7.40 Units / 84% ROI)
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the Interceptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 67% ROI)
- Gardner Minshew has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+4.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Gardner Minshew has hit the Interceptions Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+4.00 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Marvin Mims Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Courtland Sutton has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Marvin Mims Jr. has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Javonte Williams has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.85 Units / 74% ROI)
- Courtland Sutton has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.10 Units / 62% ROI)
Raiders Best Bets:
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have scored first in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+3.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 17 games (+1.90 Units / 10% ROI)
Broncos Best Bets:
- The Denver Broncos have covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have scored first in their last 6 games at home (+6.30 Units / 76% ROI)
Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders art 2-2 (-0.3 Units / -6.59% ROI).
- Raiders are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 25.45% ROI
- Raiders are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Raiders are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / ROI
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos are 3-1 (+1.95 Units / 44.83% ROI).
- Broncos are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 83.75% ROI
- Broncos are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Broncos are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Raiders are 6-1 (.857) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed an average of 132.9 rushing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Raiders are winless (0-5) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Raiders are undefeated (4-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .601.
The Raiders were winless (0-7) when allowing 22 or more points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .223.
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Broncos were winless (0-6) when committing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .293.
The Broncos were 2-6 (.250) when allowing 3 or more sacks last season — T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .350.
The Broncos are 1-8 (.111) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.
The Broncos were 3-5 (.375) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos
The Broncos scored on 14.3% of their drives last week — worst in NFL. The Raiders defense allowed scores on 22.2% of opponent drives last week — T-5th-best in NFL.