The Purdue Boilermakers (3-2) visit SECU Stadium to take on the Maryland Terrapins (4-1) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in College Park.
Maryland are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Over/Under for Purdue vs. Maryland is 59 total points.
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Purdue vs Maryland Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Maryland will win this game with 56.3% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 57.8% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Purdue and Maryland, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Purdue Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Purdue players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 58% ROI)
- King Doerue has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
Best Maryland Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Maryland players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dontay Demus Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Taulia Tagovailoa has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.20 Units / 78% ROI)
- Roman Hemby has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Taulia Tagovailoa has hit the Passing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Taulia Tagovailoa has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 29% ROI)
Purdue Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+12.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+10.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.38 Units / 35% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Purdue have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
Maryland Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Maryland have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Maryland have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+3.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Purdue has gone 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- Purdue are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 16.59% ROI
- Purdue are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Purdue are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maryland has gone 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- Maryland are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 4.24% ROI
- Maryland are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Maryland are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Purdue: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland
Purdue is 8-3 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .436
Purdue is 6-2 (.667) when not losing a fumble — tied for 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .428
Purdue is 5-1 (.625) when rushing more than 30 times — tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .417
Purdue is 7-1 (.875) when intercepting at least 1 pass — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .623
Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Purdue
Maryland is winless (0-6) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .382
Maryland is 6-1 (.667) when not throwing an interception — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .457
Maryland is winless (0-5) when throwing at least 1 interception — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .297
Maryland is 1-8 (.083) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2020 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .313
Matchup Notes for Purdue vs. Maryland
Maryland has 443 receptions in 17 games (26.1 per game) since the 2021 season — third-best among Power 5 skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.