Purdue vs Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6
Purdue vs Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

The Purdue Boilermakers (2-3) visit Kinnick Stadium to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes (4-1) on Oct. 7 in Iowa City.

Iowa is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Purdue vs. Iowa Over/Under is 38.5 total points.

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Purdue vs Iowa Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 54.3% confidence.

Purdue vs Iowa Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 75.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Purdue and Iowa, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)

  • Iowa have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+3.75 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Iowa have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 3% ROI)

Best Purdue Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Purdue players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Devin Mockobee has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • TJ Sheffield has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Hudson Card has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Hudson Card has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Devin Mockobee has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.55 Units / 21% ROI)

Best Iowa Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nico Ragaini has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Kaleb Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Spencer Petras has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Seth Anderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Luke Lachey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)

Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Purdue is 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -23.42% ROI).

  • Purdue is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -29.06% ROI
  • Purdue is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Purdue is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI).

  • Iowa is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 3.44% ROI
  • Iowa is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Iowa is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

Purdue is 7-3 (.636) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2022 season– tied for 37th-best in FBS; Average: .532

Purdue is 7-1 (.778) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– tied for 15th-best in FBS; Average: .555

Purdue is 9-4 (.692) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– tied for 36th-best in FBS; Average: .566

Purdue is 6-2 (.667) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 32nd-best in FBS; Average: .542

Iowa is undefeated (7-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: .600

Iowa is undefeated (15-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .617

Iowa was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .296

Iowa was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .352

Iowa’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.0% of 473 attempts since the 2022 season — 20th-worst among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.4% of attempts since the 2022 season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Iowa’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.0% of 473 attempts since the 2022 season — 20th-worst among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.4% of attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 30th-best among FBS defenses.

  
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